Editorial, 13 January 2023
The president of the Generalitat, Pere Aragonès, and the leader of ERC, Oriol Junqueras (Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya).
A UAB poll places those in favour of independence below 40%.
An opinion poll by the Institute of Political and Social Sciences (ICPS) of the Autonomous University of Barcelona (UAB) puts support for Catalan independence at 39%, its lowest point since 2012, while 53.2% of those consulted would reject secession in a referendum, another record value for this period, according to El Periódico.
The poll was based on 1,200 interviews between October and November, so it does not reflect the effect that the substitution of the crime of sedition for that of aggravated public disorder may have had, nor the reduction in punishment for the crime of embezzlement of public funds, the criminal reform promoted by PSOE and Unidas Podemos in agreement with ERC.
In terms of support for Catalan parties in an election, ERC would prevail over PSC (18.3% to 16.6%) in the Catalan parliamentary elections, but the Socialists would obtain more votes than the Republicans in Catalonia in a general election (23.1% to 10.1%). In a municipal election, the PSC is also the party with the most support, according to this survey, with 16.6%, ahead of ERC (14.8%) and well ahead of Junts (8.8%).